Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.025291 0.027908 0.030498 0.033248 0.036081 0.038907 0.041936
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019531 0.023692 0.027934 0.032553 0.037413 0.042353 0.047734
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.015741 0.020893 0.026287 0.032280 0.038691 0.045292 0.052561
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013289 0.019182 0.025499 0.032636 0.040366 0.048403 0.057322
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.010594 0.016924 0.023898 0.031916 0.040710 0.049939 0.060253
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008728 0.015425 0.022993 0.031828 0.041621 0.051972 0.063606
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006989 0.013907 0.021950 0.031488 0.042167 0.053533 0.066373
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005397 0.012408 0.020827 0.030975 0.042449 0.054745 0.068701
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003633 0.010474 0.019073 0.029653 0.041763 0.054841 0.069764
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003090 0.010135 0.019204 0.030474 0.043443 0.057495 0.073569
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002305 0.009336 0.018717 0.030533 0.044231 0.059138 0.076243
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001341 0.008057 0.017553 0.029745 0.044018 0.059644 0.077642
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000551 0.006870 0.016558 0.029274 0.044322 0.060897 0.080068
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.005646 0.015455 0.028675 0.044506 0.062060 0.082452
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004718 0.014673 0.028425 0.045065 0.063621 0.085253
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004180 0.014393 0.028767 0.046289 0.065904 0.088826
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003200 0.013338 0.028079 0.046263 0.066744 0.090770
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002594 0.012786 0.027995 0.046925 0.068340 0.093528
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001955 0.012078 0.027670 0.047272 0.069554 0.095837
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001338 0.011276 0.027179 0.047392 0.070486 0.097810
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000600 0.009950 0.025918 0.046542 0.070278 0.098481
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000523 0.010119 0.026701 0.048175 0.072918 0.102336
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000293 0.009781 0.026758 0.048903 0.074500 0.104988